Pakistans Semi-Final Fate to Be Decided in the Final Match

England’s dominant victory over New Zealand in the Super Eight has created a new equation in the group. Handling the pressure brilliantly in the closing stages, England secured a four-wicket win over New Zealand to confirm their semi-final spot as group leaders with six points. However, New Zealand’s defeat has opened a window of hope for Pakistan.

Following the loss, New Zealand’s net run rate dropped from +3.045 to +1.390. With three points, they are currently in second place, but their position is no longer completely secure.

In this situation, Pakistan still have a mathematical chance. With one point and a net run rate of -0.461, they sit in third place. However, in their final match against Sri Lanka, a win alone will not be enough — the margin of victory will also be crucial. If Pakistan bat first, they must win by at least 64 runs. If they chase, they will need to reach the target within 13.1 overs.

The outcome of the final match will not only determine the semi-final qualifier but also the venue. If New Zealand advance, the semi-final will be held in Kolkata; if Pakistan go through, the match will take place in Colombo. Therefore, the clash against Sri Lanka is more than just another game for Pakistan — it is a tough mathematical challenge where even the slightest mistake could shatter their hopes.